The American Immigration Lawyers Association (AILA) DOS Liaison Committee provides a series of monthly updates designed to keep members informed of Visa Bulletin progress and projections. Immediately following publication of each month’s Visa Bulletin, AILA “checks-in” with Charles (“Charlie”) Oppenheim, Chief of the Visa Control and Reporting Division, U.S. Department of State, to obtain his analysis of current trends and future projections for the various immigrant preference categories. Mr. Oppenheim is responsible for setting the cut-off date for immigrant visa priority date movement each month.

Here are Mr. Oppenheim’s comments for the month of June 2017:

EB-2 Worldwide

For several months, Mr. Oppenheim has observed high EB-2 number usage, and is now certain that a final action cut-off date will be imposed for EB-2 Worldwide by August, and possibly in July. Mr. Oppenheim hopes that the date imposed will not be too drastic, and will determine that date based upon the remaining numbers and the monthly demand trend. In the worst case scenario, the date will remain the same through the end of the fiscal year but depending on demand, it is possible that the date could advance slightly in September. Mr. Oppenheim is confident that this period of retrogression will be brief, and that the category will again become current on October 1.

EB-2 India

Demand for EB-2 India continues to be strong, in large part due to EB-3 upgrades. As noted above, the supply of visas in this category is limited to the per country limit. Although EB-2 India will advance slightly in June, Mr. Oppenheim no longer believes this category will recover to last year’s final action date. Mr. Oppenheim hopes to hold the existing final action date through the remainder of the fiscal year but will be watching this category closely.

EB-2 China and EB-3 China

EB-2 China will advance less than one month to March 1, 2013 in June, and EB-3 China’s final action date of October 1, 2014 continues to hold steady in June. Mr. Oppenheim expects EB-2 China to continue to advance slowly and notes that it is on track to hit the per country limit. In addition, EB-3 downgrade volume has started to materialize in large numbers. Mr. Oppenheim hopes to hold the EB-3 China final action date as long as possible, but retrogression of this category cannot be ruled out. Since Mr. Oppenheim lacks visibility into downgrade demand until a visa number is requested, members should continue to watch this category closely.

EB-3 Worldwide

EB-3 Worldwide will advance by one month to April 15, 2017 in June, making this category effectively current. Mr. Oppenheim expects this category to continue to advance.

EB-3 India

In June, EB-3 India will leap forward from March 25, 2005 to May 15, 2005. Since EB-3 Worldwide and Mexico demand is low, those otherwise unused numbers will continue to advance the final action date for EB-3 India in July and August. Mr. Oppenheim has already predicted that the July final action date for EB-3 India will advance to October 15, 2005, as he announced during a May 18, 2017 meeting with AILA in Washington, D.C.